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Friday, April 13, 2018

The Dunning-Kruger Effect & the Endtimes


Have you ever attempted to explain to someone that a Khazarian Jew is not related to Shem and is not an actual descendant of Judah?  How about explaining to someone that dispensational pre-tribulational rapture was designed by Darby/Scofield in the 1800’s and elevated to the level of widely accepted doctrine by the Dallas Theological Seminary?  If you have, then you most likely completely wasted your time and effort.

These individuals will never be convinced of anything regardless of the facts and information that is given to them.  It’s an epidemic called the Dunning-Kruger syndrome. It’s why ignorant people are so certain that they’re right.

The American Dunning-Kruger Epidemic (Or Why Ignorant People Are So Sure They’re Right)
Daisy Luther - April 10th, 2018 - The Organic Prepper

The Dunning Kruger effect is a cognitive bias (preconception) in which individuals, who are unskilled at a particular task, believe themselves to possess above-average ability in performing the task.

Cognitive - involving conscious intellectual activity (as thinking, reasoning, or remembering)

In many areas of life, incompetent people do not recognize—scratch that, cannot recognize—just how incompetent they are.

To know how skilled or unskilled you are at using the rules of grammar, for instance, you must have a good working knowledge of those rules, an impossibility among the incompetent. Poor performers—and we are all poor performers at some things—fail to see the flaws in their thinking or the answers they lack.

What’s curious is that, in many cases, incompetence does not leave people disoriented, perplexed, or cautious. Instead, the incompetent are often blessed with an inappropriate confidence, buoyed by something that feels to them like knowledge.

A whole battery of studies conducted by myself and others have confirmed that people who don’t know much about a given set of cognitive, technical, or social skills tend to grossly overestimate their prowess and performance, whether it’s grammar, emotional intelligence, logical reasoning, firearm care and safety, debating, or financial knowledge.

Each of us possesses certain foundational beliefs—narratives about the self, ideas about the social order—that essentially cannot be violated: To contradict them would call into question our very self-worth. As such, these views demand fealty from other opinions. And any information that we glean from the world is amended, distorted, diminished, or forgotten in order to make sure that these sacrosanct beliefs remain whole and unharmed…

Sacrosanct ideological commitments can also drive us to develop quick, intense opinions on topics we know virtually nothing about. 

The good news is that there are folks in the middle, who may not have a deeply held opinion on hot-button topics. These are the folks who can be reached by logic and facts. It’s nearly impossible to battle confident ignorance, but with facts, you can influence people who are undecided.

Conversely, highly competent individuals may erroneously assume that tasks easy for them to perform are also easy for other people to perform, or that other people will have a similar understanding of subjects that they themselves are well-versed in.  This could also be applied to the understanding of scripture and prophecy, although it is evident that most groups or individuals rarely agree on any concept.

Competent: having the necessary ability, knowledge, or skill to do something successfully or to understand a concept.

Of course, some people have applied the Dunning-Kruger effect onto Donald Trump, which may be true, however it could also apply to the person(s) leveling the charge.  I suspect everyone experiences some degree of this effect regarding a particular concept, thought pattern, or physical performance.

Several instances within the scriptures, God has proclaimed that various levels of blindness to the truth will be directed on people through the age.  Certain groups like the Christian Zionists could and should be considered blind to certain Biblical truths and they will most likely remain blind until an event occurs that forcefully slaps the truth in their face. 

The “slap in the face” event will probably be the prophesied destruction of Jerusalem.  The nation of Israel is desperately false flagging gas attacks in Syria in an effort to invoke the USA to declare war on Syria which will lead to a devastating war with Russia.  If Israel continues to bomb certain parts of Syria they could be attacked by Russia which has been promised by Russia to occur.

Isaiah 59:10 NET We grope along the wall like the blind, we grope like those who cannot see; we stumble at noontime as if it were evening. Though others are strong, we are like dead men.

Zephaniah 1:17 NET I will bring distress on the people and they will stumble like blind men, for they have sinned against the LORD. Their blood will be poured out like dirt; their flesh will be scattered like manure.

In my opinion, the largest and most dangerous Dunning-Kruger current prophetic issue is the dispensational pre-tribulation rapture concept.  The Dallas Theological Seminary development of this concept has led to the so-called seven year period of a future tribulation period.  This idea was enhanced by the misunderstood so-called final week of Daniel’s 70 weeks prophecy.  The wrong starting date was used and then enhanced with a historical oversight which left out the reigns of certain Persian kings.  These omitted reigns were later confirmed as history due to recent archeological discoveries which were never used to correct the original accepted theory of Daniel’s 70 weeks.

The unbiblical dispensation concept led the commentators to claim the Church Age was merely an additional inserted dispensation until the invented pre-tribulation rapture occurred which would take out all vestiges of the Church allowing the Jews/Israelis to recommence their dispensation and rule the world.  (i.e. the Jews are attempting to rule the world but not in the manner as preached by the evangelical Christian-Zionists and dispensationalists).

The DTS dispensationalists appear to have discovered the book of Revelation as a roadmap to the timing and activities of the invented seven year tribulation period.  Some commentators, aka Hal Lindsey, write and teach that actual locust-appearing demons will swarm to earth from a pit in the ground and terrorize earthlings with their leader either being a Nephilim or a fallen angel/Watcher named Apollyon.  Others view a literal zombie like group of demonic horsemen marching toward the nation of Israel after they are resurrected from the Euphrates River.  They visualize an earthquake so tremendous that it moves every square inch of the earth’s crust (that would be a killer earthquake); the loss of most sea life and the majority of animal life; with almost all water on the surface of the earth turned to blood.

Visit the “prophecy” section of the “Before it’s News” website and you will encounter the most scripturally twisted, convoluted, and invented misunderstandings of end-times prophecy on the internet.  The more bizarre the theory or story line the more attention and hits a post receives.  The sad part is that the writers of these posts must actually believe the trash they are posting.

My original, long-ago, opinion basically centered around the dispensation-tribulation concept.  The first thing to go was the idea of a pre-tribulation rapture.  The “revelation is a roadmap to the tribulation” idea soon became shaky due to the many different interpretations concerning the timeline of events as written in the Revelation.  When presented with the historical view of the Revelation, it was, at first, dismissed, but the continued reading and study of the idea soon made me a believer.  I now see no other viewpoint or understanding as relevant.

Many readers may not believe anything that is stated in this post.  In that case either you or I are suffering from the Dunning-Kruger effect.

Related Insight by Chuck Baldwin Concerning Christian Zionism & Scofield

The only reason the United States (and Israel) can get by with these unconstitutional and unconscionable acts of aggression in the Middle East is because the vast majority of evangelical Christians who put the warmongering politicians in office have been propagandized to believe that these wars for Israel are “holy” wars. They believe that the Rothschild Zionist State of Israel is a reincarnated Biblical Israel. They further believe that this reincarnated Israel is divinely appointed to have all of the land that God gave to Old Testament Israel under the Abrahamic Covenant. But as theologian Adam Clarke (1760 - 1832) wrote in his commentary on the Abrahamic Covenant in Genesis 15:18, “This promise was fully accomplished in the days of David and Solomon.” And so it was. But because Christians have been brainwashed by Scofieldism, they believe that wars fought against any Arab country—no matter how unconstitutional, no matter how illegal, no matter how murderous, no matter how aggressive, no matter how horrific—are in accordance with “God’s plan for Israel” and, therefore, divinely justified.

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